1. Hillary Clinton has 2.5 million more popular votes than Sanders – This is absolutely not true. By the mere fact that the Democratic Nomination contests are a mix of Primaries and Caucuses there is no accurate way to calculate popular vote. Comparing primaries and caucuses is like comparing apples and onions; it can’t be done. There have been 13 caucuses held thus far with Sanders winning 11 of them. In these caucus states participation is far less than in states where primaries are held. Calculating a popular vote is near impossible, something that the press, who was less than enthralled with Clinton in 2008 than today, was quick to challenge, when Clinton used this same argument against then candidate Barrack Obama.
2. Clinton’s lead over Sanders is way more than Obama’s lead over her in 2008 – Comparing where we are today to where the race was in 2008 is again like comparing apples and onions, it doesn’t work. While the raw data is accurate, as of today April 5 prior to Wisconsin’s primary vote, the raw pledged delegate count (no superdelegates) Clinton 1264 Sanders 1040 in 2008 late March/early April Obama had 1610 to Clinton’s 1480 pledged delegates. There is one huge difference between 2008 and 2016 that does not get mentioned; the order in which the state’s voted. At this point in time in 2008 the two biggest delegate rich states California and New York had already voted, holding their primaries in February.
To further debunk the lead argument; at this point in time in 2008 there were only 566 pledged delegates on the table. Today there are 1747 pledged delegates up for grabs, not including Superdelegates. Apples and Onions.
3. The math isn’t in Sanders’ favor- See number 2. There are 1747 pledged delegates left to win. Again there are 1747 pledged delegates that are up for grabs. In 2008 at this point in time there were only 566 delegates left to win.
4. Sanders has to win 57% or 67%, or 70% (or whatever number they are saying today) of the remaining vote – Sanders does not need to win by 57% in every state to get the nomination, this is an oversimplification of numbers that are constantly in flux, changing with each state.
5. Clinton leads with Superdelegates– Not one single Superdelegate has cast a vote, not one. Superdelegates make up 15% of the total Democratic delegates and they vote at the convention in July. At this point in time they are completely irrelevant and a distraction from the real race.